I've decided to break this post down into three categories: Longshots, Chalktards, and Final Fo.
Longshots: Teams with a 10+ seed that are going to still be alive after this weekend.
Dayton. And I can promise you that this isn't a troll pick, or a homer pick as I am the Internets most famous Flyer. Dayton has 4 guys that hover around 40% from 3 point range, is a strong offensive rebounding team, and wants to kick the fucking shit out of Thad. I think they will get past the Fuckeyes and matchup really good against Syracuse. Most importantly, they have a guy named Scoochie.
Stephen F Austin. If they were playing any other 5 seed this would be a mega lock GUARANSHEED. But they are facing the Fighting Shaka's of VCU and that gives me pause. But SFU has ran off 28 straight W's, plays an aggressive defense themselves, and controls the ball of offense. I see them beating VCU's pressure consistently and running away with that game. Then that leaves UCLA or Tulsa. UCLA is coming in hot and will hold off Tulsa. But Jeremiah Trotter went to Stephen F Austin. Exactly.
North Carolina State. Ever since the bracket was announced I had NC State over Saint Louis. The first weekend is about ELITE players. TJ Warren is one of the most elite players in the game right now. I know Louisville is a hot pick because they were absolutely wrecking bitches down the stretch. But they haven't played anybody, somebody smart on the radio said they lacked front court DEPF, and somebody from that region has to lose if Michigan is going to make it out.
Chalktards: Top teams that are getting murked this weekend.
Wisconsin. I never buy the Badgers in March. Over the last 4 years they have made the Sweet 16 twice, which is pretty good, I guess. But I am buying into Oregon. This isn't the same Wiscy from previous years that kills it on D and controls the ball. Wiscy likes to score, but Oregon likes to score more and looked really strong closing out the year.
Syracuse. They have been in a free fall and I think Dayton takes them down.
Kansas. They just aren't the same team without Embiid. New Mexico is lead by two seniors who have seen this all before. One of those seniors is a 6'9" big body, Cam Bairstow, who will be occupying the same space that Embiid normally would. Also, Bill Self is not ELITE.
Villanova. I just don't think they are that good. The Big East wasn't good. The only reason I don't really really like picking against them is because I don't think UConn or St. Joe's are that good either. But I think UConn can beat Nova.
Florida. Michigan State. Duke. Creighton.
Kills me to pick Duke to beat Michigan in the Sweet Sixteen, but they know how to shut Stauskas down and that's how you beat Michigan. I feel like Baylor might make it out of the West region, but I can't bet against Dougie McBuckets. Florida makes it out of the South because that entire region is ass. I really want to pick ISU to beat Sparty, but I watched both of these teams beat Michigan this year and Sparty is more impressive right now.
I've got Sparty beating Duke in the Championship. I obvs don't want to pick Sparty and don't want to go with all the ESPN clowns...but Sparty can beat you in so many ways
So there it is, folks. Follow this blueprint to PWNing your bracket pool. Feel free to tell me how awesome my picks are in the comments, or make your own asinine predictions and pick Kentucky vs Fuckeyes in the Championship. LET THE MADNESS BEGIN!