One of these days, I’m going to get around to charting how well my gambling picks have done this year. My guess is that it won’t be pretty. The college football slate this weekend looks pretty poor on paper but hopefully these games will surprise us with some entertainment. As a reminder, these are all recommendations and not locks with the lines coming from Mobile Football Spreads.
Ohio (State) -33 @ Illinois – We all know the reality of the situation and so does UFM3. They’re going for kill shots the rest of the way. I just hope that Nathan Scheelhaase’s old man doesn’t get kicked out of the stadium again tomorrow.
Florida Atlantic -17 @ Southern Mississippi – The Golden Eagles are abysmal.
Michigan +3 @ Northwestern – It’s do or die for both of these programs. The Cats don’t have the kind of defense that would give Michigan fits (a physical one) so I like grabbing them points. WE ON rights the ship while Pat Fitzgerald starts making plans for a golf trip in December.
USC +4 vs. Stanford – Who would have ever thought that a team would get much better once they fired Lane Kiffin? The Trojans have actually been nearly ELITE over the past 6 weeks (outside of the close loss in South Bend). The Cardinal have a letdown and win by a FG in LA.
MAC Glory Hole of the Week #2 (now 7-2.5 so we’re doubling down!) Central Michigan -2.5 @ Western Michigan – The Broncos just lost to Eastern Michigan and you don’t even have to give a full field goal to them. You should be doing the Denard “keep feeding me” gesture toward this line. I also like Akron -7 but not enough to Glory Hole it. Light prediction week for me on the college side but I’ll make up for it with the NFL. Just know that there is no better and more profitable gambling “system” on the planet than my weekly MAC Glory Hole.
Detroit -1 @ Pittsburgh – If the Lions are for real (and I’m leaning that way), then they should have no problem at all winning this game. Think about it: siding with the Steelers means that you believe that their OL will defeat Suh. Not happening, BRAH.
Washington +3 @ Philadelphia – The Eagles are 5-1 on the road this year and 0-4 at home. Bravehearts win by a million while I hang dong on Ape.
Oakland +7.5 @ Houston – The Texans are 2-7. They shouldn’t be more than a touchdown favorite over anyone.
New York Giants -4.5 vs. Green Bay – This line started at a whopping NYG -8. That's a whole pants-load of movement in favor of a third string QB. The Giants suck but probably less so than Scott Tolzein.
Carolina -1 vs. New England – I love this bet. The Patriots are always OVERRATED and will get bullied on Monday night. Time for our weekly dose of Mr. Ace’s Hammer of the Week which somehow went 2-0 last week (10-12 for the year):
2-0 last week. Keepin it one hunnit.
NCAA: There are actually 3 games that I like this week. If I am just picking one, it is Sparty -6. Sparty is coming off a bye. Nebraska beat a terrible Michigan team. This line should be above 10. The other games I like is SDSU -5(Hawaii is total ass) and Houston +16.5(They should have beat UCF last week). My system play has a huge boner for Baylor -27. The O/U is 85. That's fucking outrageous. (Editor note: SDSU is a lock)
NFL: NYJ +1. Buffalo just lost to Pittsburgh. NYJ just beat the Saints. I know they have rotated W/L this entire year, but they aren't losing to Buffalo.
Moneyline: Houston +540...I know it's unlikely, but those odds are worth a small bet. Louisville isn't THAT much better than Houston.
And here is some Seal jerk off fuel for your weekend...poor wife
That will do it for this week. I’m being told that my in-laws might be coming down on Sunday (but not staying over thank God) as they won’t be stopping by on their trip to Florida this year (YES but I’ll believe it when I see it). It will likely ruin my Sunday NFL watching but that is a small price to pay for not running a free hotel at a later. Plus, MAYBE it sets the tone that they should arrive and leave on the same day all the time. Doubtful. Go Tim Beckman!