|Please don't hold my horrible cameo on that horrible show, Entourage, against me.|
I was watching Sportscenter at the gym last night and Brian Kenny was talking to Steven Jackson. Jackson said that he was the best RB in the league. He is wrong. I nearly fell off the treadmill. Then, Jackson said that fantasy owners should draft him #1. He is wrong again. In fact, no running back has burned fantasy owners more over the past five years than Jackson. I know that he got me once. And I will never take him again. I want nothing to do with him. He can eat a big bowl of Asian dicks (cocktail weenies doused in soy sauce).
But Steven does bring up a good point. Who are you taking at #1 if you are fortunate enough to be on the clock first on draft day. Let's be honest here, there are only two options here. It's either Adrian Peterson or Chris Johnson. Let's weigh the pro's and con's for each guy:
Pro - Absolute stud, has good weapons in the receiving game that help open up the box, will probably have Favre still, plays indoors on turf, doesn't split carries anymore, playing for a new contract, gets 4 games against the Bears and Lions
Con - Fumbles all the fucking time, may have Tarvaris Jackson as his QB, has a terrible coach, shaky O-Line, slight injury concern although not so much anymore
Additional - Why did they draft Toby Gerhart exactly? That makes no sense. It would be like if the Steelers said ten years ago, "Hey, we've got The Bus but let's bring in Mike Alstott, too!" And as much as I loved Toby in college, he isn't taking carries away from All Day.
Pro - Insane cop speed, awesome hair, great O-Line, offense committed to the run, doesn't split carries, doesn't turn it over, great coach, will probably lead the league in 50+ yard touchdowns
Con - Shaky QB, no weapons in the pass game, just got paid (which is a pretty big deal...ask Al Haynesworth), plays in a tough division, defenses have to game plan to stop him first and make VY beat them
Additional - Do the Titans still have Javon Ringer as their #2? Yeah, CJ is getting goalline touches, too.
So who should you and I take if we're picking #1 this year? While there is no doubt that Chris Johnson is the better running back, I can't pass up AP (as long as Favre is playing). The Vikings are just so much more potent and will score probably 15-20 more touchdowns than the Titans will this year. Peterson is going to get a good chunk of those. Who cares if he drops the ball all the time? They have no one else to give it to. They are going to keep feeding the beast. CJ is the sexy pick but AP is the safe, surefire bet. In fantasy football, risks are for the later rounds. And while CJ isn't really a risk, you still can't be 100% sure what you're getting from that Titans offense. You KNOW that the Vikes are going to score and Peterson is going to punch in 15-20 scores. Take what you know.
What did we learn here today? Peterson is still the man in fantasy football and the guy who is picking second this year is going to be a very happy GM no matter who is picked #1. Next week, we talk quarterbacks.